+292.8% summer pacing on a 2BR Lake Michigan waterfront, already past last year's full-summer total before peak.
Representative image, generated for illustration. Properties are not identified.
Owner
Maryssa
Tenure
8.2 mo
Onboarded
Aug 2025
Period
Jun to Aug 2026 (OTB pacing)
vs. STLY
+292.8%
+$17,134
MPI
3.60x
vs. 21% mkt occ
OTB Revenue
$22,985
STLY: $5,851
ADR
$333
STLY: $266 (+25.2%)
June to August 2026 booked pacing versus the same point in 2025, not earned revenue. Full method.
What the numbers say
This 2-bedroom waterfront in Albion, Michigan is pacing +292.8% ahead of where it was at this point last year (+$17,134 in on-the-books revenue for June to August 2026). More meaningfully, the calendar is already +18.4% ahead of last year’s full-summer revenue. Of the seven summer 2026 case-study properties on RevFactor’s books, this is the only one already past last summer’s final number with peak season still ahead.
The Market Penetration Index sits at 3.60x. A property booking 1.0x the market average is pacing in line with comparable inventory in its submarket; 3.60x means it is capturing roughly three and a half times the share that occupancy alone would predict. In August specifically, MPI hits 4.71x. That is rare enough to suggest the property has effectively decoupled from the broader Albion market.
Why this is hard
Albion sits in a tertiary Lake Michigan submarket where overall July and August market occupancy is about 21%. Most properties in this band run at or just under market. The default move when demand is soft is to compress minimums and discount into peak. RevFactor’s playbook here did the opposite: held nightly rate up (ADR $333 vs. $266 same-time-last-year, +25%) while pushing occupancy from 24% to 75%.
Rate up, occupancy up, and ADR up against final last year. That combination is the version of revenue management that is hard to luck into. It requires reading the market two ways at once. The comp set’s restrictions are too tight, and the comp set’s rates are also too low relative to what the right guest will pay.
What changed
Owner-specific tactical detail is held under client confidentiality. The visible pattern in the calendar is consistent with three plays Federico Zimerman has documented publicly:
- Minimum-stay flexibility as a competitive weapon. When most comp-set listings show 5- to 7-night minimums for summer, dropping to a shorter floor on weekends captures bookings the rest of the market is filtering itself out of. This is the same play behind the +$20K Fort Worth studio lift Federico has discussed on No Vacancy.
- Hold the rate, change the strategy. Discounting into a soft market is the survivorship-bias trap. The properties you see discounting are the ones that survived the decision; the ones that priced themselves into a corner are invisible.
- Book early, premium late. Lock in summer bookings 6 to 9 months out at a measured premium rather than waiting until 30 to 60 days out and discounting to fill.
The market context, month by month
| Window | OTB Rev | STLY Rev | $ Lift | OTB Occ | Mkt Occ | MPI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 2026 | $7,704 | $2,805 | +$4,899 | 80.0% | 24.5% | 3.26x |
| July 2026 | $8,262 | $1,476 | +$6,785 | 74.2% | 22.9% | 3.24x |
| August 2026 | $7,019 | $1,570 | +$5,449 | 71.0% | 15.1% | 4.71x |
| Summer total | $22,985 | $5,851 | +$17,134 | 75.0% | 20.8% | 3.60x |
Three months, one pattern: market occupancy in the low 20s, this listing in the low 70s. That is positioning, not seasonality.
What it costs
RevFactor manages this property at a flat $350 per month, plus a one-time $150 onboarding fee and no percent of revenue. The +$17,134 in on-the-books summer lift covers the onboarding fee and about 48 months (four years) of management fees on this listing alone, and the comparison only widens once peak weeks finish booking.
A note on these numbers
All figures are pulled directly from RevFactor’s pacing reports as of the May 2026 data pull. OTB (on-the-books) means revenue already committed via confirmed bookings for the June to August 2026 window. STLY (same-time-last-year) is the same booking-curve point in 2025. LY is final 2025 revenue for the same June to August window. These are booked pacing figures, not earned revenue, and this page will be updated to earned results once the summer closes. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Method
Figures on this page are booked pacing (on-the-books revenue as of the May 2026 data pull) versus the same point in 2025, not earned revenue. They will be updated to earned results once the summer closes. The property is identified by size and market, and the owner by first name only. The photograph above is representative of the property type and region and does not depict this listing.
How this was measured
Property: 2-bedroom in Albion, MI (Lake Michigan / Western MI). Onboarded: August 2025, 8.2 months of tenure at measurement. Window: June to August 2026 booked pacing (on-the-books revenue as of the May 2026 data pull) against the same point in the 2025 booking curve.
- OTB (on-the-books):
- revenue already committed via confirmed bookings for the window, as of the pull date.
- STLY (same-time-last-year):
- what the calendar held a year earlier for the same future window.
- LY (last-year final):
- final realized revenue for the same window in 2025.
- MPI (Market Penetration Index):
- the property's booked share divided by its fair share of the comp set. 1.00x paces the market; above 1.00x leads it.
- ADR (average daily rate):
- average price of booked nights.
- Occupancy:
- booked nights divided by available nights. "Mkt occ" is the comp set's average for the same window.
Cost: flat $350 per month plus a one-time $150 onboarding fee, no percent of revenue. The booked lift shown above covers the onboarding fee and about 48 months of management fees.
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